Math 301 Introduction to Probability and Statistics

Spring 2015

Section 001 10:20 to 11:20, M W F

Instructor: Dr. Chris Edwards          Phone: 948-3969       Office: Swart 123

Classroom: Swart 14 Text: Probability and Statistics, 8th edition, by Devore. Earlier editions of the text are also acceptable.           Link to Day By Day notes.

Recommended Calculator: TI-83, TI-83 Plus, or TI-84 Plus, by Texas Instruments. Other TI graphics calculators (like the TI-86) do not have the same statistics routines we will be using and may cause you troubles. We will also use computer software, such as MINITAB, to perform statistical work.

Catalog Description: Elementary probability models, discrete and continuous random variables, sampling and sampling distributions, estimation, and hypothesis testing. Prerequisite: Mathematics 172 with a grade of C or better.

Course Objectives: The goal of statistics is to gain understanding from data. This course focuses on critical thinking and active learning. Students will be engaged in statistical problem solving and will develop intuition concerning data analysis, including the use of appropriate technology. Specifically students will develop

¥     an awareness of the nature and value of statistics

¥     a sound, critical approach to interpreting statistics, including possible misuses

¥     facility with statistical calculations and evaluations, using appropriate technology

¥     effective written and oral communication skills

Grading: Final grades are based on these 300 points:

 

Topic

Points

Tentative Date

Chapters

Exam 1

Summaries, Probability

53 pts.

March 9

1, 2, 3.1 to 3.3, 4.1 to 4.2

Exam 2

Distributions

53 pts.

April 16-17 [Testing Center]

3, 4, 5

Exam 3

Inference

53 pts.

May 15

7, 8

Group Presentations

15 Points Each

60 pts.

Various

 

Homework

9 Points Each

81 pts.

Mostly Weekly

 

 


 

Grades: Grades will be assigned by the following schedule.

Grade

Points (Percent)

Grade

Points (Percent)

Grade

Points (Percent)

A

270 (90 %)

B-

231 (77 %)

D+

189 (63 %)

A-

261 (87 %)

C+

219 (73 %)

D

180 (60 %)

B+

249 (83 %)

C

210 (70 %)

D-

171 (57 %)

B

240 (80 %)

C-

201 (67 %)

F

170 or fewer

Homework: I will collect three homework problems approximately once a week. The due dates are listed on the course outline below. While I will only be grading three problems, I presume that you will be working on many more than just the three I assign. I suggest that you work together in small groups on the homework for this class. What I expect is a well thought-out, complete discussion of the problem. Please donÕt just put down a numerical answer; I want to see how you did the problem. (You wonÕt get full credit for just numerical answers.) The method you use, and your description of your work, is much more important to me than the final answer.

Presentations: There will be four presentations, each worth 15 points. The descriptions of the presentations are in the Day By Day Notes. I will assign you to your groups for these presentations, because I want to avoid you having the same members each time. I expect each person in a group to contribute to the work; however, you can allocate the work in any way you like. If a group member is not contributing, see me as soon as possible so I can make a decision about what to do. The topics are: 1 – Data Displays (February 20). 2 – Probability (March 6). 3 – Central Limit Theorem (April 22). 4 – Statistical Hypothesis Testing (May 13).

Office Hours: Office hours are times when I will be in my office to help you. There are many other times when I am in my office. If I am in and not busy, I will be happy to help. My office hours for Spring 2015 semester are 10:20 to 11:00 Tuesday, 2:00 to 3:00 Wednesday and Friday, or by appointment.

Philosophy: I strongly believe that you, the student, are the only person who can make yourself learn. Therefore, whenever it is appropriate, I expect you to discover the mathematics we will be exploring. I do not feel that lecturing to you will teach you how to do mathematics. I hope to be your guide while we learn some mathematics, but you will need to do the learning. I expect each of you to come to class prepared to digest the dayÕs material. That means you will benefit most by having read each section of the text and the Day By Day notes before class.

My idea of education is that one learns by doing. I believe that you must be engaged in the learning process to learn well. Therefore, I view my job as a teacher not as telling you the answers to the problems we will encounter, but rather pointing you in a direction that will allow you to see the solutions yourselves. To accomplish that goal, I will find different interactive activities for us to work on. Your job is to use me, your text, your friends, and any other resources to become adept at the material.

Monday

Wednesday

Friday

February 2 Day 1
Introduction

February 4 Day 2
Random Sampling
Section 1.1

February 6 Day 3
Graphical Summaries
Section 1.2

February 9 Day 4
Graphical Summaries
Section 1.2

February 11 Day 5
 Numerical Summaries
Sections 1.3 to 1.4

February 13 Day 6
Homework 1 Due
Intro to Probability
Sections 2.1 to 2.2

February 16 Day 7
Permutations, Combinations
Section 2.3

February 18 Day 8
 Permutations, Combinations
Section 2.3

February 20 Day 9
Presentation 1

February 23 Day 10
Trees
Section 2.4

February 25 Day 11
Homework 2 Due
BayesÕ, Independence
Section 2.5

February 27 Day 12
Coins, Dice, and RVÕs
Sections 3.1 to 3.2

March 2 Day 13
 RVÕs and Expected Values
Section 3.3

March 4 Day 14
Homework 3 Due
Continuous Distributions
Sections 4.1 to 4.2

March 6 Day 15
Presentation 2

March 9 Day 16
Exam 1

March 11 Day 17
Normal
Section 4.3

March 13 Day 18
Normal Problems
Section 4.3

March 16 Day 19
Gamma
Section 4.4

March 18 Day 20
Probability Plots
Section 4.6

March 20 Day 21
Homework 4 Due
Binomial
Section 3.4

March 30 Day 22
Binomial
Section 3.4

April 1 Day 23
Hypergeometric
Section 3.5

April 3 Day 24
Homework 5 Due
 Negative Binomial
Section 3.5

April 6 Day 25
Normal Approx to Binomial
Section 4.3

April 8 Day 26
Cauchy

April 10 Day 27
Linear Combinations, Central Limit Theorem
Section 5.3

April 13 Day 28
Homework 6 Due
More CLT
Sections 5.4 to 5.5

April 15 Day 29
Catch up Day
Chapter 5

April 17 Days 30 and 31
Exam 2 [Testing Center]
m&mÕs
Section 7.1


April 20 Day 32
Confidence Intervals
Section 7.2

April 22 Day 33
Presentation 3

April 24
No Class

April 27 Day 34
Intro to Hypothesis Testing
Section 8.1

April 29 Day 35
Homework 7 due
Z-Procedures
Sections 7.3 and 8.2

May 1 Day 36
Testing Simulations
Section 8.4

May 4 Day 37
t-procedures
Section 8.2

May 6
Homework 8 Due
More t-procedures
Section 8.2

May 8 Day 39
Proportions
Sections 7.2 and 8.3

May 11 Day 40
Homework 9 Due
Review

May 13
Presentation 4

May 15 Day 42
Exam 3


 

Link to Homework for Spring semester.

Return to ChrisÕ Homepage

Return to UW Oshkosh Homepage

Managed by: chris edwards

Last updated January 10, 2015