MATH 201 Applied Statistics

Fall 2008

Section 001 8:00 to 9:00 M W F

Section 002 9:10 to 10:10 M W F

Instructor: Dr. Chris Edwards      Phone: 424-1358 or 948-3969     Office: Swart 123

Classroom: Swart 302           Text: Introduction to the Practice of Statistics 6th edition, by David S. Moore and George P. McCabe

Required Calculator: TI-83, TI-83 Plus, or TI-84 Plus, by Texas Instruments. Other TI graphics calculators (like the TI-86) do not have the same statistics routines we will be using and will cause you troubles.

Catalog Description:  An introduction to applied statistics using a statistical computing package such as MINITAB.  Topics include: Descriptive statistics, elementary probability, discrete and continuous distributions, interval and point estimation, hypothesis testing, regression and correlation.  Credit cannot be earned for both PBIS 189 and Mathematics 201.  Prerequisite: Mathematics 104 or 108 with a grade of C or better.

Course Objectives: (Click here for full document.)  The goal of statistics is to gain understanding from data.  This course focuses on critical thinking and active learning.  Students will be engaged in statistical problem solving and will develop intuition concerning data analysis, including the use of appropriate technology.

Specifically students will develop

•     an interest and aptitude in applying statistics to other areas of human inquiry

•     an awareness of the nature and value of statistics

•     a sound, critical approach to interpreting statistics, including possible misuses

•     facility with statistical calculations and evaluations, using appropriate technology

•     effective written and oral communication skills

Grading: Final grades are based on 500 points:

 

Topic

Points

Tentative Date

Exam 1

Descriptive Statistics

80 pts.

October 3

Exam 2

Sampling, Probability, and the CLT

80 pts.

November 7

Exam 3

Statistical Inference

80 pts.

December 12

Group Presentations

20 Points Each

60 pts.

Biweekly

Quizzes

10 Points Each

100 pts.

Weekly

Homework

10 Points Each

100 pts.

Weekly

Attendance is a very important component of success in my class because many of the skills and lessons we will learn will be a direct result of classroom activities that cannot be reproduced easily. Thus, final grades are based on attendance as well as total points earned.  The number of quiz scores that may be dropped is based on absences. 

Text Box: Number of Absences	Number of Dropped Quizzes
0 to 4	2
5 to 8	1
9 or more	None
Final Grades:
Grade	Points (Percent)
A	450 (90 %)
AB	425 (85 %)
B	400 (80 %)
BC	375 (75 %)
C	350 (70 %)
D	300 (60 %)

Presentations:  There will be three presentations, each worth 20 points.  The descriptions of the presentations are in the Day By Day Notes.  I will assign you to your groups for these presentations randomly, but I want to avoid you having the same members each time.  I expect each person in a group to contribute to the work; you can allocate the work in any way you like.  If a group member is not contributing, see me as soon as possible so I can make a decision about what to do.  Part of your presentation grade will be based on your own evaluations of how each person contributed to the presentation.  The topics are:  1 - Displays and Regression (October 1).  2 - Sampling and Probability (November 5).  3 - Statistical Hypothesis Testing (December 10).

Quizzes:  Approximately once a week, we will have a quiz on the current material.  These quizzes are a way for me to provide feedback to you on your progress in the course.  You will be allowed to drop up to 2 quizzes, based on your course attendance.

Homework:  I will collect three homework problems approximately once a week.  The due dates are listed on the course outline below.  While I will only be grading three problems, I presume that you will be working on many more than just the three I assign.  I suggest that you work together in small groups on the homework for this class. What I expect is a well thought-out, complete discussion of the problem.  Please don’t just put down a numerical answer; I want to see how you did the problem.  (You won’t get full credit for just numerical answers.)  The method you use is much more important to me than the final answer.  To aid in your study groups, I will be distributing a class roll of both sections I am teaching this semester.

Office Hours: Office hours are times when I will be in my office to help you.  There are many other times when I am in my office.  If I am in and not busy, I will be happy to help.  My office hours for Fall 2008 semester are 10:20 to 11:00, Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, and 3:00 to 4:00 Tuesday, or by appointment.

Philosophy:  I strongly believe that you, the student, are the only person who can make yourself learn.  Therefore, whenever it is appropriate, I expect you to “discover” the statistics we will be exploring.  I do not feel that “lecturing” to you will teach you how to do statistics.  I hope to be your “guide” while we learn some statistics, but you will need to do the learning.  The textbook we will be using for this class will require you to actually read it to master the material.

My idea of teaching / learning is not “Teaching is telling and learning is listening”.  I believe that you must be active in the learning process to learn well.  My job as a teacher, therefore, is not to tell you the answers to the problems we will encounter; rather it is to point you in a direction that will allow you to see the solutions yourselves.  To accomplish that goal, I will work to find different interactive activities for us to work on.  Your job is to use me, to use your text, to use your friends, and any other resources.  Keep in mind that the goal is to learn statistics, not to pass the exams.  (Incidentally, if you have truly learned the material, the exam results will take care of themselves.)

 

Homework 1, due September 15

Chapter 1:        1.18 page 23
                        1.28 pages 25-26
                        1.40 page 28

 

Homework 2, due September 22

Chapter 1:        1.56 page 48
                        1.80 page 51
                        1.136 page 75

 

Homework 3, due September 29

Chapter 2:        2.20 page 98
                        2.26 page 100
                        2.64 pages 122-123

 

Homework 4, due October 15

Chapter 3:        3.18 page 192
                        3.66 page 210 (use the calculator)
                        3.68 pages 210-211 (use the calculator)

 

Homework 5, due October 24

Chapter 4:        4.22 page 255
                        4.34 page 257
                        4.60 page 269

 

Homework 6, due October 31

Chapter 4:        4.80 page 287
                        4.122 pages 305-306
Chapter 5:        5.28 page 334

 

Homework 7, due November 14

Chapter 5:        5.48 page 347
                        5.52 page 348
Chapter 6:        6.26 page 371

 

Homework 8, due November 21

Chapter 6:        6.32 page 371
                        6.54 page 391
                        6.66 pages 392-393

 

Homework 9, due December 3

Chapter 6:        6.122 page 413
Chapter 7:        7.32 page 444
                        7.76 page 470

 

Homework 10, due December 10

Chapter 8:        8.14 page 503
                        8.26 page 504
                        8.44 page 517

Monday

Wednesday

Friday

 

September 1
No Class

September 3 Day 1
Introduction

September 5 Day 2
Graphical Summaries
Section 1.1

 

September 8 Day 3
Arizona Temps
Section 1.1

September 10 Day 4
Numerical Summaries
Section 1.2

September 12 Day 5
Quiz 1

Standard Deviation
Section 1.2

 

September 15 Day 6
Homework 1 Due

Intro to Normal
Section 1.3

September 17 Day 7
Normal Problems
Section 1.3

September 19 Day 8
Quiz 2

 Correlation
Sections 2.1 and 2.2

 

September 22 Day 9
Homework 2 Due
Outliers I
Section 2.2

September 24 Day 10
Olympic Races
Section 2.3

September 26 Day 11
Quiz 3

Outliers II
Section 2.3

 

September 29 Day 12
Homework 3 Due

U. S. Population
Sections 2.4 and 2.5

October 1 Day 13
Presentation 1

Review

October 3 Day 14
Exam 1

 

October 6 Day 15
Polls
Section 3.1 to 3.3

October 8 Day 16
Lurking Variables
Section 3.1

October 10 Day 17
SRS’s
Section 3.2

 

October 13 Day 18
Quiz 4

 Sampling Schemes
Sections 3.3 and 3.4

October 15 Day 19
Homework 4 Due
Randomness
Section 4.1

October 17 Day 20
Coins, Dice, RV’s
Section 4.2

 

October 20 Day 21
Quiz 5

Random Variables
Section 4.3

October 22 Day 22
Means and Variances
Section 4.4

October 24 Day 23
Homework 5 Due
Trees and Bayes’
Section 4.5

 

October 27 Day 24
Quiz 6

Binomial
Section 5.1

October 29 Day 25
Central Limit Theorem
Section 5.2

October 31 Day26
Homework 6 Due
More CLT
Section 5.2

 

November 3 Day 27
Quiz 7

Review

November 5 Day 28
Presentation 2

November 7 Day 29
Exam 2

 

November 10 Day 30
m&m’s
Section 6.1

November 12 Day 31
CI Practice
Section 6.1

November 14 Day 32
Homework 7 Due

Contradiction
Section 6.2

 

November 17 Day 33
 Hypothesis Test Practice
Quiz 8

Section 6.2

November 19 Day 34
Testing Simulation
Section 6.2 to 6.3

November 21 Day 35
Homework 8 Due

Gosset Simulation
Section 7.1

 

November 24 Day 36
Quiz 9

Matched Pairs
Section 7.1

November 26
No Class

November 28
No Class

 

December 1 Day 37
Two Samples
Section 7.2

December 3 Day 38
Homework 9 Due
Proportions
Section 8.1

December 5 Day 39
Quiz 10

2 Sample Proportions
Section 8.2

 

December 8 Day 40
Review

December 10 Day 41
Homework 10 Due

Presentation 3

Review

December 12 Day 42
Exam 3

 

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Last updated August 26, 2008